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Surviving
the crisis

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The
crisis Argentina is living and especially the devaluation and
the financial loch are shaking the already stricken
aerocommecial companies to the point which in a few months
some could have disappeared. A report by Santiago Rivas. |
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2001 was
one of the worst years in Argentine aerocommecial industry, not to say the
worst. The same is said about all the country, but in the case of
commercial aviation, the grave crisis it drags since a couple of years
worsened because of the 11th September attacks in the United
States, and with the devaluation and the financial lock, thing worsened
even more.
Passengers
preferred postponing or cancelling their holidays (those who had thought
about it) and reservations practically disappeared. The Argentine
population’s position is to wait and see what happens, and make
decisions after. But meanwhile nobody sells or buys, and the companies
continue having expenses.
It seems
the 2001-2002 summer season finished before it started and the aero
commercial panorama will be very different in March.
Even
though ticket sales fell 26.8% in 2001 with respect to 2000(that had
already fallen 16% compared to 1999), during the first week of the year
the fall had reached 40% and respect to the last fortnight of December
(when the crisis had already begun), the fall was 20%.
In the
particular case of international flights, the fall reaches 80% in some
cases.
Facing
the crisis, the people decided not going on holiday or doing it near their
residence.
Places
like Brazil, Mexico, Cuba and St. Maarten, will not see the Argentines
that in other occasions filled their beaches, this year. According to what
José Luis Devoto, Dinar director and representative of that company
before ALARA (Regular Argentine Airlines Association), “occupation of
aircraft is 50% maximum, and it decreases in days with government
announcements popular unrest, etc.”.
But the
crisis not only involves the fall in the ticket sales, but with the
devaluation the prices of spares, insurance, airport fees, fuel and other
costs which are in dollars and in many cases must be managed by the
parallel market rate.
The main
problem is the companies must charge their domestic tickets in pesos and
in view of the low demand, and the Sports and Tourism minister’s
request, cannot raise them.
The
financial lock, which impedes transfers of great quantities of money
abroad by the companies, makes the cancellation of insurance policies
contracted in London, as well as buying spares, given there is no other
way of paying the manufacturers.
This
virtual airline blockage can generate the paralysis of the fleet on land
through lack of spares, and cannibalisation of planes to obtain missing
parts.
Foreign companies threaten
Foreign
companies, likewise, threaten with suspending international services if
they are still unable to transfer funds invoiced by ticket sales for
overseas destinations from this country.
Generally,
these companies transfer up to 85% of the collections to their country of
origin. And, for the moment, as happens to all multinationals, they cannot
transfer fund from Argentina, in addition to the fact that money is
trapped in the lock decreed by the ex minister Domingo Cavallo, and that
the present government cannot unlock.
For the
time being, all the companies that operate international flights have
opted for not accepting credit cards for payment. They only accept cash in
dollars or pesos, that were first accepted at the official rate of 1.40
pesos per dollar and later at the free rate, that sometimes passes 2 pesos
per dollar.
A
director of the Junta de Representantes de Compañias Aereas” (Jurca)
said with regards to the hike of the rates that “to us, the fuel, the
catering, the aircraft leasing and the spares cost in dollars. So we have
to charge the tickets in dollars”.
For the
moment, United Airlines, and British Airways have already announced
cutbacks of up to 50% in services to the country, whereas Malaysian
Airlines lifted its stopover in Argentina.
National in trouble
National
companies were already dragging a grave crisis, especially Aerolineas
Argentinas-Austral and ARG , both holding creditors meetings.
Their
costs maintain in parallel market dollar rates, while the tariffs are in
pesos. To that we must add a price war that started last October and that
has taken the ticket prices to similar values as those of the buses.
Although
it made plane trips more attractive for the passengers, the profit margin
is minimal. As José Luis Devoto explained, little more than half the
companies’ costs are in dollars.
In
ARG they are very worried because the aircraft leasing has become non
payable and they are negotiating with the companies owners of the planes
the reduction of fees, but the proprietors are already trying to recover
their aircraft. On the other side it is heard that they will return 6
Boeing 737 or that the Boeing 737-700 will cease to operate, only
remaining with the 737-200, given the demand decrease renders them
unnecessary and their cost unacceptable.
Meanwhile,
people from the company said the plan was to replace the 737-700 by
737-300 from Delta airlines, but the American company does not intend
delivering them.
Company
speakers denied the return of the aircraft and a reduction in the number
of routes and frequencies, even though some days back, an executive from
the company, Guillermo Francos, said “we are trying to keep the saucers
in the air so the least people possible are harmed”.
Nevertheless,
the company situation seems to have changed after a meeting held
by the president of the Nation, Eduardo Duhalde, and one of
ARG’s owners, Eduardo Eurnekian, also majority shareholder of the
Aeropuertos Argentina 2000 consortium.
At the
meeting, Eurnekian would have promised the continuation of ARG’s operation to the Argentine
president, in exchange for renegotiating the
Tender conditions for the 33 airports that his other company
administrates, someting Duhalde would have accepted thinking in the
ammount of employment that would be lost facing the fall of the second
airline of the country.
Not
reaching an agreement with the state, other people, close to Eurnekian,
said the impresario does not discard the bankruptcy of the company, that
is in a creditors meeting process with accrued liabilities for 120 million
dollars and is generating losses.
AeroVip,
which had been bought by Eurnekian to Sebastián Agote, was resold, 80% of
it, to its previous owner, and there is talk that it will start operating
as AeroVip and not under the name ARG Express as it does now.
Despite
the company does not have a sales system of their own, now that it uses
ARG’s, it has a small structure with which it will be able to function.
the way Southern Winds does.
In the
case of Dinar, the company owner of two of the DC-9 planes with which the
Argentine line flies is struggling to take away the aircraft, given that
Dinar is not paying the leases since a month and a half ago due to the
impossibility of transferring money overseas.
Although
the foreign companies understand the situation, they prefer to take the
planes back to continue without collecting.
As all
the companies, Dinar did not raise its domestic tariffs, though they do
not discard hikes if the fuel price goes up. Besides the company owned by
the Desimone family launched an advertising campaign promoting regular
flights to Brazil.
Southern
Winds is not better either, and as the previous ones it suspended part of
its staff, 20 pilots between them.
According
to its press manager, Encarnación Ezcurra, “people are travelling the
weekends. The full planes are the ones to on Fridays and the ones from on
Sundays. We believe there will be an improvement in the second half of the
month”, she stated.
Anyway
occupation is 65%, a low level for the season, but acceptable.
According
to Ezcurra, given the company uses fifty seat planes like the Dash 8 and
the Regional Jet, and that the company was in a better situation than the
others when the crisis started, the fall is not too noticeable and that is
why they will not increase prices yet.
Also,
the international plan that includes incorporating two Boeing 767-300, the
first one in March to Miami and New York, continues. In this respect,
crews have flown to Brazil and Stockholm to begin instruction on the 19th
of January.
Many of
these companies’ pilots have already opted for leaving the country
towards Malaysia, South Africa and Europe, and Lan Chile has already hired
some of them.
The
other company in a complicated situation is Aerolineas Argentinas, also in
creditors meeting. Although they opted for the free dollar rate for the
international routes, they are the only ones that have already announced
(through a great advertising campaign) they will keep the domestic flight
rates in pesos and at the present rates, but with limitations for the
offers.
As part
of one of the first measures since devaluation, foreseen salary reductions
of around 20%, through which the president of the company, Antonio Mata,
hoped to make the company profitable, were suspended
The
other important company in the country, LAER, Lineas Aereas de Entre Rios,
had to suspend plans to fly overseas with the newly incorporated Fokker
F-28, although on Friday 19th it started regular flight from
Paraná to Buenos Aires. Its quality manager, Ignacio di Prospero ,
announced a pool had been made with all the operators to help each other
with the materials and spares that would be needed owing to the limited
amount that exist in the country, and that it is practically impossible to
import them.
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An important variable
The
fuel price has become the point of greater discussion of the crisis
because the oil companies sustain fuel prices are international and
therefore must be invoiced in dollars, taking the free rate as a
reference, but this would mean ruin for the companies, for it would result
in a strong cost increase.
Airlines
state fuel means 25% of the operating costs and a raise would force the
tariffs up.
Esso
was the first to announce it will raise the price of fuel because it will
not absorb the devaluation and will charge the same dollar tariff as in
the rest of the countries.
Fabian
Falco, Press manager for Repsol-YPF, company that holds practically the
monopoly of air fuel in the country because it is present in all the
airports in the country, except in Aeroparque, Córdoba and Ezeiza, where
it shares sales with other oil companies, declared that “we have not
raised fuels, but it is also true that for the aeroplanes this input has
an international price. It has to be discussed”, he said.
They
are of the same opinion in Shell, the other company that provides fuel in
the Argentine airports. But the companies sustain the only way is to
change the prices into pesos, otherwise they will have to go up and lose
more clients again. After all fuel is produced locally and devaluation
affects very little in the oil companies costs.
With
all this, the air companies that should be enjoying the benefits the
summer season brings are fighting as they can to survive. And the
watchword is: survive the crisis.
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