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O
MESMO CASO

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Brazil
devaluated its currency four years before Argentina. How did
it work for them? Did it help to increase exports? What were
the results? A report by Federico Etiennot from Brazil. |
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They are
finding it hard to recover, although the first months of the year were
extraordinarily good for Brazilian foreign trade in airfreight. The
airport of Guarulhos, a few kilometers from the city of Sao Paulo
registered 7,367 tons of export cargo in January last – the highest
volume for the first month of the year since 1998. February was even
better: the 9,588 tons of exports that were moved remind us that this was
the best February in the last 16 years.
Perhaps
this apparent recovery is the only difference between the behavior of the
devalued Brazilian market, ’98 model, and that displayed by the
Argentine 2002 version. Apart from that, there are many coincidences.
“Economic
and political instability do not favor the development of investment in
the exporting sector,” says Fernando Fetter, from Lufthansa.
As to
Carlos Augusto Cesar, cargo manager for Iberia in Brazil, he assures us
that the fall in imports during last year, as compared to the volume
registered in 2000, was the result of “the economic crisis, which
brought a reduction in domestic production”. Therefore, the need to
import material for local manufactures was reduced.
Both
what Ferrer says and what Cesar explains could well be applied to what is
happening in Argentina. In short, beyond the fact that the volumes handled
by one or the other country differ in several thousand tons, the
“devaluation effect” affected the two markets in the same manner.
Imports
fall rapidly... and so do exports.
“Once
the decision to devaluate the ‘real’ was made, the importers stopped
applying for licenses to bring in superfluous goods, as well as products
sensitive to price changes because of their direct link to the dollar,”
reminds us Fetter.
“The
effect of devaluation was immediately felt in imports, but not in exports,
which, while they were supposed to increase, took their time to
materialize and needed the help of other factors that would promote sales
abroad,” he adds.
Four
years have gone by since the devaluation in Brazil and the expectations of
growth for the current year are based on the volumes of cargo registered
in January and February. Of these Nelson Faria, logistics manager of the
State-run Infraero at the airport of Guarulhos, says that they are “two
months that are traditionally very quiet and that allows us to expect a
great 2002”.
This
year, Guarulhos must increase the capacity for using pallets in export
cargo by 20%, while for 2003 the terminal will have an area specifically
devoted to live cargo needing to stay on the airport premises for a longer
period of time.
Infraero
is inviting a bid for the construction of an express cargo terminal at the
international airport of Viracopos, in the town of Campinas. The terminal
will house the offices of the operators doing business in the airport. It
is worth recalling that Viracopos moves 83% of the incoming and outgoing
express cargo in Brazil.
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